Why a Low BABIP Doesn’t Necessarily Signal a Good Buy-Low Candidate

Posted: 28th June 2010 by Nick Kappel in MLB
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The term "Batting Average on Balls In Play" (BABIP) has become one of the most popular stats among fantasy managers in recent years.  To put it simply, BABIP measures the number of batted balls that fall safely for a hit (excluding home runs). According to The Hardball Times Glossary, the exact formula for BABIP is: (H-HR)/(AB-K-HR+SF). The major league average for BABIP is usually around .300. Last year it was .299. Through nearly three months this season, it's .298. Generally, if a player’s BABIP is well-below the major league average, we can conclude he has experienced some amount of bad luck. Sometimes the player is making good contact, but his batted balls simply aren’t finding holes in the defense. However, that’s not alw ...

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